Best SNF Prop Bets: Detroit Lions at Houston Texans

Author: Pauly McGuire | Fact checker: Tommi Valtonen · Updated: · Ad Disclosure
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Get ready for a fun Sunday Night Football matchup when the Detroit Lions (7-1) visit the Houston Texans (6-3) in Week 10. We found some of the best SNF player props for CJ Stroud, Jared Goff, Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Tank Dell, Joe Mixon, Sam LaPorta, and Amon-Ra St. Brown.

The Texans are a +3.5 home dog, and the total is 49 points.

According to the DVOA advanced metrics, these are two elite defensive squads. The Texans (22.2 ppg) are ranked #2 and the Lions (18.5 ppg) are ranked #3.

The Lions run a high-octane offense that generates the most points in the NFL at 32.3 ppg. They’re also ranked #3 in offensive DVOA. The Texans average 22.3 ppg, which is ranked #17 in scoring and #23 in offensive DVOA.

Best SNF Player Props: Touchdowns

Running back Joe Mixon from the Texans is the outright favorite to score the first touchdown (+450 odds), an anytime touchdown (-170) and multiple touchdowns (+330 odds). He leads the Texans with seven touchdowns including six rushing scores. He scored six touchdowns in his last four games after missing a couple weeks with an ankle injury.

Wide receiver Nico Collins sustained a hamstring injury in Week 5, but he could return against the Lions. Collins scored three touchdowns in his last four appearances. If he suits up, he’s +130 odds to score an anytime touchdown.

Stefon Diggs suffered a season-ending knee injury, but Tank Dell stepped up in Week 9 with one of his most productive games of the season. Dell scored two touchdowns in the last four games. We love Dell to reach the end zone at +180 odds.

Player First TD Odds Anytime TD 2+ TDs
Joe Mixon +450 -170 +330
Jahmyr Gibbs +475 -145 +400
David Montgomery +475 -140 +425
Amon-Ra St. Brown +750 +110 +800
Nico Collins +1000 +130 +900
Sam LaPorta +1200 +220 +1900
Tank Dell +1300 +180 +1400
Dalton Schultz +1700 +255 +2200

The Lions have a two-headed rushing attack with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. They both scored seven rushing touchdowns each, but Gibbs also has one touchdown reception. It’s tough to predict which back will get the rock in the red zone, but Montgomery scored only one touchdown in his last three games. Meanwhile, Gibbs scored four touchdowns in the same time span.

Quarterback Jared Goff threw 14 touchdowns, and wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown caught six of them. After scoreless games in the first two weeks of the season, St. Brown caught one touchdown in each of his last six games. He’s +110 odds to score an anytime touchdown.

After a slow start in September, tight end Sam LaPorta tallied both of his touchdowns in October. According to the best online sportsbooks he’s +220 odds to score an anytime touchdown.

Lions vs Texans Prop Bets: Passing

Stroud has been inconsistent this season, but the Lions have the fourth-worst passing defense in the NFL that allows 250.8 air yards per game.

Stroud averages 237.7 passing yards, and his SNF total is 228. He went over that total five times this season, but only once in his last four games.

For an alternative passing yards prop bet, Stroud is +310 odds to pass for more than 275 yards. If he tosses 300+ yards, that will pay out +600 odds.

Stroud threw just one touchdown in the last three games. He was shutout in both of their last two losses. When Stroud passes for at least two touchdowns in a game, the Texans are undefeated. He has just one game with three touchdowns this season, but some of the NFL betting sites show that he’s currently +550 odds to three or more touchdowns against the Lions.

Quarterback Passing Prop Bet Over Odds Under Odds
CJ Stroud 228 Yards O/U -115 -115
CJ Stroud 1.5 TDs O/U +110 -145
Jared Goff 223.5 Yards O/U -115 -115
Jared Goff 1.5 TDs O/U +135 -175

Goff will be tested against the Texans, who have the third-best pass defense in the NFL that allows 167.4 yards per game. Goff averages 230 passing yards per game. His SNF total is 223.5, which he exceeded only four times this season.

Goff has an alternative passing yards prop bet that pays out +350 odds for 275 or more yards, which he achieved only four times.

Goff has five multi-touchdown games. We love him to throw more than 1.5 touchdowns at +135 odds. Over his last four games, Goff has a pair of games with three touchdowns. If you think he’ll light up the Texans, he’s +450 odds to throw three or more touchdowns.

Lions vs Texans Prop Bets: Rushing

Mixon averaged 101.5 yards in six games this season. His rushing total on SNF is 79.5 yards because the Lions have a tough run defense that allows 106.4 yards per game, which is ranked #7.

Mixon rushed for 100-plus yards five times this season. He has four straight games with 100-plus yards. If Mixon can rush for more than 100 yards for a fifth game in a row, there’s a prop bet that pays +175 odds. If he rushes for more than 120 yards, which he hasn’t done since Week 1, that will pay out +320 odds.

Player Rushing Prop Bet Over Odds Under Odds
Joe Mixon 79.5 Yards O/U -115 -115
Jahmyr Gibbs 63.5 Yards O/U -115 -115
David Montgomery 57.5 Yards O/U -115 -115

Gibbs leads the Lions with 82 rushing yards per game, and averages 6.4 yards per carry. Gibbs has a SNF total of 63.5 rushing yards. He has seven straight games with at least 63 yards, so we’re eying the over.

Gibbs has two 100-yard games over the last three weeks. If he can snap off another game with 100+ yards, that prop bet will pay out +350 odds.

Montgomery averages 61 rushing yads per game on 4.4 yards per carry. His total on SNF is 57.5 yards. He went over that total four times this season, but only twice in his last five games.

Montgomery with 100+ rushing yards will pay out +425 odds, but he only has one game north of 100 yards back in Week 3.

Gibbs has a combined yardage prop bet of 84.5 rushing and receiving yards, which he exceeded five times this season. Montgomery has a similar combined prop bet with 71.5 total yards from scrimmage, and he went over that total in five games.

Lions vs Texans Prop Bets: Receiving

St. Brown averages 58.2 yards per game. His SNF total for is 68.5 yards, but exceeded that number only three times this season or just once in his last five games.

St. Brown has four games with seven or more receptions this season, including twice in his last three games.

Player Receiving Prop Bet Over Odds Under Odds
Amon-Ra St. Brown 68.5 Yards O/U -115 -115
Amon-Ra St. Brown 6.5 Receptions O/U +110 -145
Sam LaPorta 34.5 Yards O/U -115 -115
Sam LaPorta 3.5 Receptions O/U +100 -130

LaPorta made a huge splash last season as a rookie tight end, but he has not been utilized as much in the passing game this season. He only has three games with more than 3.5 receptions. More importantly, he has four or more targets from Goff on only three instances

LaPorta doesn’t haul in a lot of catches, but when he does, it’s usually for a nice chunk of yardage. He averages 37.5 yards per game. He has a total of 34.5 yards on TNF, which he exceeded six times this season.

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Pauly McGuire has 20 years of experience in the gaming world as a reporter and sports writer. He got his start during the online poker boom and is the author of the book "Lost Vegas.".