Sweet 16 Cinderellas by State

Author: Henri Ojala | Fact checker: Tommi Valtonen · Updated: · Ad Disclosure
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Each year, one or more college basketball teams find their footing under the blinding lights of March Madness. That gives the nation a plucky underdog to root for amid the legal online sportsbooks fervor for the 68-team men’s NCAA Tournament.

Whether it was the Steph Curry-led Davidson Wildcats of 2008, who slayed Gonzaga, Georgetown, and Wisconsin on the way to the school’s first Elite Eight berth in 39 years, or a Power Five team that was down on its luck such as Georgetown in 2001, Missouri in 2002, and countless others over the last two decades — March Madness rarely fails to deliver each spring

With college basketball soon starting, many customers are using betting apps to tune into the games. Meanwhile we’ll be looking forward to the spring. If there are any cinderellas, they’ll likely come from the following states.

States With Most Double-Digit Seeds Reaching Sweet 16

State Double-Digit Seeds In Sweet 16
Ohio 5
California 4
New York 4
Washington 4
Illinois 3
Florida 3
Pennsylvania 3
North Carolina 3
Virginia 3
New Jersey 3
Oregon 3
Wisconsin 2

States With Most NCAA Tournament Cinderellas

Nationally, the bellwether states when it comes to March Madness Cinderella success are Ohio (five teams), then California, New York, and Washington (four teams each). Several states have produced three each: North Carolina, Florida, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Illinois, New Jersey, and Oregon. New Jersey produced great Cinderella stories each of the past two years, both No. 15 seeds, as Saint Peter’s reached the Elite Eight in 2022 and Princeton got to the Sweet 16 last year.

The other state producing multiple double-digit seeds in the tournament’s second weekend is Wisconsin, with two, according to Sports Reference CBB data.

No team has been a double-digit seed and won a national title, but underdogs can still play out for their backers when they win it all. in 2023, Connecticut was the No. 4 seed in the West Region and had +1600 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook to cut down the nets at the Final Four.

How Far Did NCAA Tournament Cinderellas Advance?

Of the 51 double-digit seeded teams to reach the Sweet 16 since 2000, four (or 7.8%) have gone on to make the Final Four: George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, Loyola Chicago in 2018, and UCLA in 2021. Each were No. 11 seeds entering the tournament.

The lowest seed to reach the national title game since 2000 was No. 8 – Butler in 2011, Kentucky in 2014, and UNC in 2022. The lowest seed ever to reach an Elite Eight was No. 15 St. Peter’s, which did so in 2022 after beating No. 2 seed Kentucky, No. 7 Murray State, and No. 3 Purdue.

The lowest seed to ever win it all in college basketball was eighth seed Villanova in 1985, with the Wildcats upsetting Georgetown in the title game that season.

Every Double-digit Seed In Sweet 16 Since 2000

Seed/School Year State
10/Seton Hall 2000 New Jersey
10/Gonzaga 2000 Washington
10/Georgetown 2001 Washington DC
11/Temple 2001 Pennsylvania
12/Gonzaga 2001 Washington
10/Kent State 2002 Ohio
11/Southern Illinois 2002 Illinois
12/Missouri 2002 Missouri
10/Auburn 2003 Alabama
12/Butler 2003 Indiana
10/Nevada 2004 Nevada
10/NC State 2005 North Carolina
12/Milwaukee 2005 Wisconsin
11/George Mason 2006 Virginia
13/Bradley 2006 Illinois
10/Davidson 2008 North Carolina
12/Villanova 2008 Pennsylvania
12/Western Kentucky 2008 Kentucky
12/Arizona 2009 Arizona
10/Saint Marys 2010 California
11/Washington 2010 Washington
12/Cornell 2010 New York
11/VCU 2011 Virginia
12/Richmond 2011 Virginia
10/Florida State 2011 Florida
12/Marquette 2011 Wisconsin
10/Xavier 2012 Ohio
11NC State 2012 North Carolina
13/Ohio 2012 Ohio
13/La Salle 2013 Pennsylvania
12/Oregon 2013 Oregon
15/Florida Gulf Coast 2013 Florida
10/Stanford 2014 California
11/Tennessee 2014 Tennessee
11/Dayton 2014 Ohio
11/UCLA 2015 California
11/Gonzaga 2016 Washington
10/Syracuse 2016 New York
11/Xavier 2017 Ohio
11/Loyola Chicago 2018 Illinois
11/Syracuse 2018 New York
12/Oregon 2019 Oregon
12/Oregon State 2021 Oregon
11/UCLA 2021 California
11/Syracuse 2021 New York
15/Oral Roberts 2021 Oklahoma
11/Michigan 2022 Michigan
11/Iowa State 2022 Iowa
10/Miami 2022 Florida
15/St. Peters 2022 New Jersey
15/Princeton 2023 New Jersey
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Internationally renowned author Henri Ojala has spent more than a decade mastering the ins and outs of the gambling industry, focusing on online poker, sports betting, and casino games. With over 10 years of experience in the gambling industry, Henri shares his extensive knowledge of strategies, odds, and risk management, earning him recognition as an authority in the online casino field.