The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship is here, and if you’re looking to make some solid bets this week, you’re in the right place. With star players from both the traditional DP World Tour and LIV Golf, this event is set to be an exciting one for bettors. Played across three iconic Scottish links courses—St. Andrews, Carnoustie, and Kingsbarns—the course rotation makes for a unique betting challenge. Let’s dive into the best picks and odds to keep an eye on, with a focus on American odds from BetMGM and a few other sources.
Alfred Dunhill Links Championship 2024 Odds
Here are the key players to watch, with their latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook:
| Player | Odds (BetMGM) |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +650 |
| Jon Rahm | +650 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +1100 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1200 |
| Shane Lowry | +2200 |
| Brooks Koepka | +2200 |
| Alex Noren | +2800 |
| Robert MacIntyre | +2500 |
| Patrick Reed | +3500 |
| Grant Forrest | +8000 |
| Tom McKibben | +6000 |
Top Bets on the Favorites
John Rahm and Rory McIlroy should be the top dogs for this tournament. We are leaning heavily towards McIlroy and fading Rahm, but at both players prized at +650 you can take your pick. However, Rahm’s current involvement with LIV raises some questions on his focus.
Rory McIlroy (+650)
Rory’s in great form right now, and at +650, he’s sharing the top spot as the favorite. He’s come close to winning multiple times recently, with five top-5 finishes in his last nine events. Rory’s got history here too—he’s finished runner-up a couple of times and generally thrives on links courses.
If you’re going to back Rory, know that it’s all about consistency. He’s a safe bet for a top-5 finish, but if you want a bit more thrill, an outright win at +650 could pay off nicely.
Best Bet: Top-5 finish or outright win at +650. You’re banking on consistency and history here.
Jon Rahm (+650)
Rahm’s odds might be equal to McIlroy’s, but there are a few red flags here. Sure, he’s had a solid run with wins on the LIV Golf Tour and a recent second-place finish at the Open de Espa?a. But he missed the cut at this event in 2019, and the ongoing distractions between LIV and the PGA Tour could throw him off his game.
That said, if Rahm is on form, he can be a beast on the links, and a top-10 finish is well within reach.
Best Bet: A top-10 finish is a safer play for Rahm given the circumstances.
Tyrrell Hatton (+1100)
Hatton’s history at the Alfred Dunhill Links is hard to ignore—he’s won this event twice and has consistently performed well here. And at +1100, there’s good value on an outright win. While he’s known for starting slow, he often finds his stride and becomes a force on links courses. Hatton’s improved consistency this season makes him one of the most attractive bets.
Best Bet: Outright winner at +1100. For more conservative bettors, a top-5 finish is also a solid option.
Underdogs
There are also some very valuable picks if we look at the underdogs of this tournament. For example Alex Noren excels at courses like this.
Alex Noren (+2800)
Noren might not be the household name that McIlroy or Rahm are, but at +2800, he offers a lot of upside. The Swedish golfer has shown great form on links courses, and his solid ball-striking could be the difference-maker. If you’re looking for a high-upside pick that won’t break the bank, Noren is your guy.
Best Bet: Top-10 finish at +2800. With past strong performances on similar courses, this is a value play worth considering.
Shane Lowry (+2200)
Lowry is a links specialist, plain and simple. At +2200, his odds offer a fair balance of value and potential payoff. While his putting hasn’t been the best lately, his ability to navigate tricky conditions on courses like St. Andrews and Carnoustie makes him a smart bet for a top-10 finish.
Best Bet: Top-10 finish at +2200. If the wind picks up and weather becomes a factor, Lowry could thrive.
Robert MacIntyre (+2500)
MacIntyre’s playing on home soil, and that alone makes him an enticing pick. The Scotsman’s +2500 odds give you some great upside for a player who’s comfortable on the links and has shown form this season. He’s already clinched two PGA Tour wins, and his emotional edge playing alongside his dad in the pro-am could give him a boost.
Best Bet: Each-way bet at +2500 to cover both an outright win and a top-10 finish. Good value for a player who’s had a memorable season.
Sleepers
There are also some huge value sleepers that might not be the best picks to win, but should probably make your DFS lineup at DraftKings.
Grant Forrest (+8000)
Feeling lucky? Forrest could be your longshot hero. He’s had two top-10 finishes in his last two Dunhill appearances and has been in solid form this year. At +8000, the risk is low, but the reward could be huge.
Best Bet: Top-10 finish at +375 or take a small stab at an outright win at +8000. A great sleeper pick.
Tom McKibben (+6000)
McKibben might not be on everyone’s radar, but he’s one to watch. His +6000 odds offer solid potential, especially after a recent top-10 finish at the BMW PGA Championship. With a strong iron game and good driving accuracy, McKibben has what it takes to go deep into this tournament.
Best Bet: Top-20 finish or an each-way bet for a top-10 finish. At +6000, there’s value in his recent form.
Other Players to Consider
- Brooks Koepka (+2200): Has a solid track record at St. Andrews and has consistently placed in the top-10 at this event.
- Patrick Reed (+3500): A wildcard pick, Reed has shown glimpses of form recently, making him an interesting bet if he finds his groove.
- Nicholas Norgaard (+115 in matchup vs. Patrick Reed): For a head-to-head matchup, Norgaard offers value against Reed given his recent strong performances.
Summary
Whether you’re backing a favorite like McIlroy or Rahm, going for a value play with guys like Noren and Lowry, or swinging for the fences with longshots like Forrest, the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship has plenty of opportunities for bettors. Keep an eye on the weather conditions, as they could significantly affect play.
