The New York Jets will play their first game after they fired head coach Robert Saleh when they host the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. The Jets are now in a must-win situation, which provides a chance to find the best MNF player props involving Aaron Rodgers, Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Josh Allen, Braelon Allen, and Keon Coleman.
The Bills dropped two games in a row, but they’re -2.5 road favorites against the Jets at NFL betting sites. The total is 41 over/under in this projected low-scoring AFC East throwdown with two strong defensive units, plus the Jets struggle to put points on the board.
The Jets are the eighth-lowest scoring team, averaging 18.6 ppg. The Bills also have a strong defense, ranked in the Top 10 allowing only 21.2 ppg, and ranked #6 in defensive DVOA.
The Jets are tied for the fifth-best scoring defense in the NFL, allowing only 17.0 ppg, yet they’re ranked #12 in defensive DVOA. Their defense will be tested against the third-highest scoring team in the NFL. The Bills average 28.4 points per game.
Best MNF Prop Bets: Touchdowns
New head coach Jeff Ulbrich stripped offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett of play-calling duties during this week’s internal shake-up. Ulbrich tapped Todd Downing to become the new play-caller. Downing is the former OC of the Tennessee Titans and Las Vegas Raiders, and he has an old-school, run-heavy approach.
That’s one of the primary reasons why Jets running back Breece Hall is the consensus favorite across the board to score the first touchdown at +450 odds, anytime touchdown at -125 odds, and two or more touchdowns at +500 odds. Right now, you can also back rookie running back Braelon Allen to score an anytime touchdown at +340 odds.
If you think the Jets’ porous offensive line will finally start blocking to free up Aaron Rodgers in the passing game, then you can back their wide receivers to score anytime touchdowns: Garrett Wilson at +135 odds, Allen Lazard at +215 odds, and Mike Williams at +285 odds.
PLAYER | FIRST TD SCORER | ANYTIME TD | 2+ TDs |
Breece Hall | +450 | -125 | +500 |
Josh Allen | +650 | +130 | +900 |
Keon Coleman | +750 | +140 | +1000 |
Ray Davis | +750 | +155 | +1000 |
Garrett Wilson | +750 | +135 | +1000 |
Dalton Kincaid | +800 | +165 | +1300 |
Allen Lazard | +1100 | +215 | +1900 |
Braelon Allen | +1400 | +340 | +2500 |
Mike Williams | +1400 | +285 | +2500 |
Meanwhile, Bills running back James Cook did not practice this week with a foot injury. He’s listed as questionable on the injury report. Quarterback Josh Allen is the main dude in the Bills running game inside the red zone with two rushing scores, which is why he’s the second favorite on the board to score the first touchdown at +650 odds, an anytime TD at +130 odds, and two or more touchdowns at +900 odds.
Rookie WR Keon Coleman has been making strides with the Bills, and he’s tied for the team lead with two touchdown receptions. We like Coleman at +140 odds to score an anytime touchdown. Tight end Dalton Kincaid leads the Bills with 24 targets. Kincaid only scored one touchdown this season, but he’s +165 odds to find the end zone on MNF.
Bills vs. Jets Prop Bets: Passing
The Bills have the eighth-worst passing attack in the NFL. Allen averages 189.0 passing yards per game, which is his lowest average since his rookie season.
The Jets have the second-best pass defense in the NFL that allows only 136 yards per game. Allen will face a tough secondary on MNF, which is why we like the under for Allen’s passing yards at 210.5.
QUARTERBACK | PASSING PROP | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
Josh Allen | 210.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Josh Allen | 1.5 TDs O/U | +155 | -205 |
Aaron Rodgers | 225.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Aaron Rodgers | 1.5 TDs O/U | +145 | -190 |
Rodgers is getting heaps of criticism for being washed up, but the Jets actually have a better passing attack than the Bills with 206.2 yards per game. Then again, Rodgers has thrown for more than 200 yards only three times this season, with only one game with more than 250 yards. Rodgers has a total of 225.5 passing yards on MNF.
If Rodgers exceeds 250 passing yards against the Bills, that prop bet pays out +175 odds. If Rodgers passes for more than 300 yards, that will pay out +700 odds.
Rodgers threw at least two touchdown passes in three out of five games this season. He’s +145 odds to go over 1.5 touchdowns. A rare three-touchdown game from Rodgers plays at +650 odds on US betting apps.
Bills vs. Jets Prop Bets: Rushing
The Jets have two amazing running backs, yet they’re ranked dead last with 80.4 rushing yards per game. Let’s see if the Jets’ new play-caller can improve the rushing attack considering Downing’s philosophical emphasis on running the ball. Then again, the horrendous offensive line has done a terrible job protecting Rodgers, and they’ve been even worse in the run game.
At least the Jets catch a break when they face a subpar run defense. The Bills allow 144 rushing yards per game, which is the eighth-worst run defense in the league.
In the first three weeks of the season, Hall averaged 15 carries and 57.3 yards per game. Yet in the last two games, he rushed for 27 yards, including an appalling four yards on 10 carries against the Broncos in Week 4. Hall’s average is down to 39.4 yards per game, but he has a total of 52.5 yards on MNF.
Hall also averages 29.6 receiving yards per game. One of our best MNF prop bets is Hall’s combined yardage with over 80.5 rushing and receiving yards.
Hall’s best game this season occurred in Week 2 with 62 rushing yards. If you’re looking for a long shot prop bet, Hall is +800 odds to record his first game with 100 rushing yards.
PLAYER | RUSHING PROP | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
Breece Hall | 52.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Josh Allen | 36.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Braelon Allen | 30.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Bills vs. Jets Prop Bets: Receiving
Allen Lazard, one of Rodgers’ other former teammates in Green Bay, has the best chemistry with Rodgers. He’s second on the Jets with 33 targets but leads the team with four touchdown receptions. Lazard averages 48 yards per game, yet his total for MNF is 35.5. He caught at least 34 yards in four out of five games this season.
PLAYER | PROP BET | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
Breece Hall | 24.5 Yards O/U | -120 | -110 |
Mike Williams | 29.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Allen Lazard | 35.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Garrett Wilson | 61.5 Yards O/U | -110 | -120 |
Wilson leads the Jets with 57 targets this season yet only hauled in 33 receptions. He averages 58.2 yards per game, but his total for MNF is slightly higher at 61.5.
Wilson tallied 101 yards against the Vikings in London, which marked his highest total this season and the only time he caught more than 100 yards. A prop bet for Wilson to record a second 100-yard game this season pays out +450.