The Minnesota Vikings (5-2) host the Indianapolis Colts (4-4) on Sunday Night Football, which is a big game for both teams. The Vikings will try to end a two-game losing streak after starting the season 5-0. The Colts benched quarterback Anthony Richardson in favor of veteran backup Joe Flacco to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings are a -5 favorite and the points total is 46.5 over/under.
We found the best SNF prop bets from NHL betting sites for the Vikings and Colts in Week 9 for key players like Flacco, Sam Darnold, Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones, Jonathan Taylor, and TJ Hockenson.
Best SNF Prop Bets: Touchdowns
Running back Aaron Jones from the Vikings scored only three total touchdowns this season, but he is the consensus favorite to score the first touchdown at +450 odds, an anytime touchdown at -140, and +400 odds to score two or more.
Wide receiver Justin Jefferson is always a threat to score a touchdown on any play, and he scored five this season. Jefferson is +550 odds to score first, -115 odds to score an anytime touchdown, and +450 odds to score two or more touchdowns.
Tight end TJ Hockenson is expected to play in his first game this season after recovering from an ACL injury. Hockenson is +205 odds to score a touchdown.
| PLAYER | FIRST TD ODDS | ANYTIME TD ODDS | 2+ TD ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | +400 | -140 | +400 |
| Justin Jefferson | +550 | -115 | +550 |
| Jonathan Taylor | +600 | -125 | +485 |
| Jordan Addison | +1000 | +200 | +1800 |
| Michael Pittman | +1300 | +185 | +1500 |
| TJ Hockenson | +1100 | +205 | +7800 |
| Josh Downs | +1600 | +240 | +3000 |
| Jalen Nailor | +1700 | +350 | +3000 |
| Alec Pierce | +2200 | +360 | +3500 |
Running back Jonathan Taylor is the highest member of the Colts on the touchdown board. Taylor is +600 odds to score the first touchdown and +120 odds to score an anytime touchdown.
Flacco loves to fling it and spread the ball around, which is good news for the Colts’ wide receivers. Michael Pittman scored two touchdowns this season, and both were in games in which Flacco started. Pittman is +185 odds to score an anytime touchdown, which is one of our best SNF prop bets.
Colts vs Vikings Player Props: Passing
The Vikings are ranked #1 in defensive DVOA, and ranked #9 in scoring defense by allowing 19.6 points per game. Their strength is their stonewall run defense, but their biggest weakness is their passing defense. They’re ranked third worst defense by allowing 260 passing yards per game. We expect Flacco to move the ball easily against the Vikings.
The Colts are 1-1 with Flacco as a starter. He averages 274 passing yards per start, and torched the Jaguars for 359 yards and three touchdowns. Flacco has a passing total of 228 yards against the Vikings on SNF. You can take a flier on a 300+ yard game from Flacco at +500 odds.
Flacco threw five touchdowns in his two starts. We like him to exceed his total of 1.5 touchdowns, which pays out +140 odds. You can also back him to throw three or more touchdowns at +550 odds.
| QUARTERBACK | PASSING PROP | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | 254.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
| Sam Darnold | 1.5 TDs O/U | -135 | +105 |
| Joe Flacco | 228.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
| Joe Flacco | 1.5 TDs O/U | +140 | -165 |
Darnold averages 230 passing yards per game this season. His yardage total is 254.5, which he exceeded only three times in five starts. The Colts do not have a strong secondary, which is why Darnold’s total is on the high side. Darnold threw two or more touchdowns in five out of seven games this season. The over 1.5 touchdowns pays out -135 odds.
Colts vs Vikings Player Props: Receiving
Jefferson averages 92.3 yards per game. He exceeded 85 yards four times this season. He also has two games with at least 115 yards. In the alternative receiving yards market, Jefferson is +205 odds to surpass 110 yards and +285 odds to catch more than 120 yards.
The receptions prop bet for Jefferson set at 6.5 when he averaged 5.8 catches per game. The over pays even money and the under is -130 odds. We like Jefferson to catch more than 6.5 balls and more than 86.5 receiving yards as one of our best SNF prop bets.
| PLAYER | RECEIVING PROP | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 86.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
| Jordan Addison | 41.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
| TJ Hockenson | 38.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Hockenson is a big question mark in his first game back. Darnold completed only 21 passes to his tight ends this season, or just three per game. Tight ends averaged 23.6 yards per game for the Vikings.
Hockenson is a different beast though, and his total is 38.5 yards. He exceeded his current total 13 times out of 15 games last season prior to his knee injury. Half of those games were with Kirk Cousins (prior to his season-ending injury) at quarterback and the other games were with other backup quarterbacks.
It’s wise to take a passive approach with Hockenson. This week provides a perfect opportunity to scout Hockenson for future prop bets. How healthy is he? How many targets will he get from Darnold? How will his usage affect wide receiver targets?
Colts vs Vikings Player Props: Rushing
The Vikings have the third-best run defense in the NFL that allows 89 yards per game. Jonathan Taylor averages 90.8 rushing yards in five games this season with three 100-yard games. His total is only 71.5 yards, everyone is expecting him to have a rough night against the Vikings.
| PLAYER | RUSHING PROP | OVER ODDS | UNDER ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 71.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
| Aaron Jones | 70.5 Yards O/U | -115 | -115 |
Aaron Jones averages 71.6 rushing yards per game for the Vikings, which he exceeded four times this season. You can back him to surpass 90 rushing yards at +215 odds.
As a dual threat back, Jones also averages 32.4 receiving yards per game, or a total of 104 yards from scrimmage per game. Jones also has a combined yards prop bet. His total is 95.5 for rushing and receiving yards, and we like the over on SNF.
